Dr Marta Kołczyńska

Scientific activity

2017 – PhD, Sociology, The Ohio State Unviversity

2014 – MA, Sociology, The Ohio State University

2009 – MA, Cultural Studies, Centre for East European Studies, University of Warsaw

2007 – MA, Warsaw School of Economics

Scientific interests

Political attitudes and behavior, political inequality, democratization, quantitative methods, survey data quality and comparability, social research methods.

Selected publications

Marta Kołczyńska, Mariano Torcal, and Matias Bargsted. Forthcoming. „Democracy Matters Twice: How Democracy Relates to Winner–Loser Gaps in Political Trust Across Countries and Over Time”. European Journal of Political Research.

Marta Kołczyńska, Maciej Sychowiec, and Oliwia Szczupska. Forthcoming. „Dimensions of Division: Structuring Ideological Polarization During Poland’s Democratic Backsliding”. Comparative European Politics.

Piotr Koc and Marta Kołczyńska. Forthcoming. „Modeling Trends in Aggregate Public Opinion Using Multiple Survey Sources: An Overview of Approaches, Assumptions and Trade-offs”. PS: Political Science and Politics. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096526102030.

Balazs Aczel et al. 2026. “Investigating the analytical robustness of the social and behavioural sciences”. Nature 652: 135-142. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09844-9.

Olivia Miske et al. 2026. “Investigating the reproducibility of the social and behavioural sciences”. Nature 652: 126-134. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-026-10203-5.

Andrew Tyner et al. 2026. “Investigating the replicability of the social and behavioural sciences”. Nature 652: 143-150. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-10078-y.

Marta Kołczyńska. 2026. “Effects of political polarization on non-electoral participation”. Comparative European Politics. DOI: 10.1057/s41295-026-00471-w.

Marta Kołczyńska and Paul-Christian Bürkner. 2026. “Does political trust strengthen democracy? A cross-national longitudinal analysis”. International Political Science Review, 1-13. DOI: 10.1177/01925121251405191. Supplement https://osf.io/tpywu/.

Marta Kołczyńska. 2025. “Does polarization increase participation? A systematic literature review and meta-analysis”. European Political Science Review. DOI: 10.1017/S1755773925000116.

Piotr Jabkowski, Ulrich Kohler, and Marta Kołczyńska. 2025. „Against all odds: On the robustness of probability samples against decreases in response rates.” Survey Research Methods 19(1): 83-104. DOI: 10.18148/srm/2025.v19i1.8475.

Marta Kołczyńska, Paul-Christian Bürkner, Lauren Kennedy, and Aki Vehtari. 2024. “Modeling public opinion over time and space: Trust in state institutions in Europe, 1989-2019.” Survey Research Methods 18(1): 1-19. DOI: 10.18148/srm/2024.v18i1.8119. Supplement: https://osf.io/uyzfe/.

Marta Kołczyńska and Paul-Christian Bürkner. 2023. “Modeling public opinion over time: A simulation study of latent trend models”, Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology. DOI: 10.1093/jssam/smad024. Supplement: https://osf.io/j45er/.

Marta Kołczyńska. 2022. “The winner takes all the trust: populism, democracy, and winner-loser gaps in political trust in Central and Southern Europe”, Journal of Contemporary European Studies. DOI: 10.1080/14782804.2022.2162486. Supplement: https://osf.io/7j3ua/.

Nate Breznau, Eike Mark Rinke, Alexander Wuttke, et al. 2022. “Observing Many Researchers Using the Same Data and Hypothesis Reveals a Hidden Universe of Uncertainty”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences  119(44): e2203150119. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2203150119, Print: https://osf.io/preprints/metaarxiv/cd5j9/.

Marta Kołczyńska and Ireneusz Sadowski. 2022. „Seeing the world through party-tinted glasses: Performance evaluations and winner status in shaping political trust under high polarization”, Acta Politica. DOI: 10.1057/s41269-022-00249-4. Supplement: https://osf.io/f3acb/.

Marta Kołczyńska. 2022. “Combining Multiple Survey Sources: A Reproducible Workflow and Toolbox for Survey Data Harmonization”, Methodological Innovations 15(1): 62-72. DOI: 10.1177/20597991221077923.

Marta Kołczyńska and Paul-Christian Bürkner. 2021. “Marketplace of indicators: Inconsistencies between country trends of measures of the rule of law”, Political Research Exchange. DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2021.1989984. Supplement: https://osf.io/wsy9v/.

Piotr Jabkowski and Marta Kołczyńska. 2020. “Sampling and fieldwork practices in Europe: Analysis of methodological documentation from 1,537 surveys in five cross-national projects, 1981-2017”, Methodology: European Journal of Research Methods for the Behavioral and Social Sciences 16(3): 186-207. DOI: 10.5964/meth.2795.

Marta Kołczyńska. 2020. “Democratic values, education, and trust in state institutions”, International Journal of Comparative Sociology 61(1): 3-26, DOI: 10.1177/0020715220909881.

Projects

Projects in progress

2023-2027, Political participation in the age of polarization: Austria, Poland, and Slovenia from a comparative perspective (POPAPOL), Poland’s National Science Centre, WEAVE-UNISONO (2022/04/Y/HS6/00024).

Other

CV

Privately

2019-2024, Causes and Consequences of Political Trust: Polarization and Democratic Utility of Trust in Cross-national Perspective, National Science Centre (2019/32/C/HS6/00421) – PI.

2018, Effects of status inconsistency on political values, attitudes and behavior: a cross-national analysis with survey data harmonized ex post, Institute of Philosophy and Sociology of the Polish Academy of Science (2017/S/05) – PI.

2013-2023-2027, Political participation in the age of polarization: Austria, Poland, and Slovenia from a comparative perspective (POPAPOL), Poland’s National Science Centre, WEAVE-UNISONO (2022/04/Y/HS6/00024).

2015, New Approach to Analyses of the Relationship between Democracy and Trust: Comparing European Countries Using Quantitative and Qualitative Methodology, Poland’s National Science Centre (2012/05/N/HS6/03886) – PI.